Sunday, June 27, 2021

6/25/21: 10 Year Yield turning bullish???

 The S&P made new all time highs and hit vW 4273
and nulled vM to 4103.  vW's from 4285.5 to 4410 are triggered.



Russell near all time highs.



Bonds hit vW to 195.
vW to 199'25 is triggered.



10 year yield hit vW at 1.363 and so far bounced.
Also has bullish MACD. Still has short term vM to 1.162,
but MACD is looking bullish and is above the 10 ma.



Gold has short term vM's 1707.1 and 1626.3 that are triggered.



Oil still grinding higher.
Could see above $100 next year.



Lumber has went from parabolic this year, to forming a vM below zero!



From 6/25/21
The Dollar jumped 2% this week hitting short term vW's to 91.285 and 91.945
Also formed and triggered vW's from 93.325 and 94.165



XLF has retaken its 10ma and climbed well above last weeks lows.



Bitcoin hit vM 29271.88 and has so far bounced.





















Sunday, June 20, 2021

Week Ending 6/18/21: Nasdaq new ATH's and >10/50ma's but w/out MACD. Several things looking ugly.

 The S&P has fallen below its 10 and 50 MA's.
Formed and triggered vM to 4103.
vW's from 4273 to 4410.25 are still intact 
unless we break below 4029.25



Russell took fell below 10 and 50 MA's as well.
Overall thesis remains intact unless we take out 2084



The NAsdaq hit new ATH's with out MACD, buy is above both 10 and 50 SMA's.
Nulled vM 11684.25



Bonds hit vW 193'25 and are just under vW 195.
vW to 199'25 has been triggered and short term
vM to 172'30 has been nulled.



10 year yield has vM's to 1.363 and 1.162 that are triggered.



Gold fell 5% for the week falling through all MA's and vM 1799.3
Also formed and triggered vM's to 1707.1 and 1626.3



Copper fell with gold falling under its 10 and 50 ma's.
Formed and triggered vM's from 4.0115 to 3.4480



Oil hit short term vW at 72.24 without MACD(bearish)
vW to 75.64 is still triggered.



Lumber is down over 50% from highs.
vM to 609.5 is triggered with bearish MACD and ma construction.
Currently testing it's 200ma.



The Dollar jumped 2% this week hitting short term vW's to 91.285 and 91.945
Also formed and triggered vW's from 93.325 and 94.165



XLF fell hevily Thursday and Friday closing down over 6%
vM's from 35.0to 32.17 are triggered.



Bitcoin needs to hold 31,100 
to avoid nulling vW's from 41786.89 
to 51973.44 and ultimately 29721.88, 
otherwise expecting 16021.58


Sunday, June 13, 2021

Week Ending 6/11/21: Lumber down 40% from highs. Crypto ready to bounce???

The S&P hit vW at 4239.75 and made new ATH's,
nulling vM's 4013.75 and 3930.
Several short term vW's triggered along with longer term to 4394.75



Russell still looking bullish.
Just under ATH's and breakout for bull flag 3059.5



Bonds hit hort term vW's in the low 190's a 
couple weeks ago and are back at that level. 
vW from 193'25 to 199'25 are triggered.



10 year yield hit vM 1.434
Still has vM's to 1.363 and 1.162 that are triggered.



Gold has formed short term vM's to 1799.3 which is right at it's 50 ma.
Might be healthy if it test the 50 ma as vW's higher and the bull flag will remain intact.
Has pulled back some forming vW to 2184.9
Click for Update



Copper still kind of sideways, but MACD and moving averages are starting to look bearish.
See if price can retake the 10ma, otherwise expecting 4.1640



Oil has short term vW's to 72.24 and 75.64 that are triggered.
Longer term vW's to 80.82 and 114.07 are triggered.



Lumber is down almost 40% from highs.
vM to 609.5 is triggered with bearish MACD and ma construction.



The Dollar has retaken the 10ma and is just below the 50ma.
Has formed and triggered short term vW's to 91.285 and 91.945 



XLF is below it's 10ma and had new highs without MACD.
Could see a 50ma test, but bullish patterns remain in tact.



Bitcoin has triggered vW's from 41786 to 51973
Is above the 10ma and had new lows without MACD.



ETH isn't looking as strong as bitcoin yet, but could.
Currently just under the 10ma and neckline for vW to 4134.70
MACD looking like could turn positive too.



Sunday, June 6, 2021

Week Ending 6/4/21: Everything but oil was sideways for the most part.

The S&P traded sideways, testing its 10ma, 
but pushed higher Friday closing up on the week.
Several short term vW's triggered along with longer term to 4394.75
New highs will null vM's to 4013.75 and 3930 



Russell pretty much the same since last week, 
except 10 ma has retaken the 50 ma. 
From 5/27/21
Russell looking more bullish with the 10ma trying to cross above the 50ma.
Had bullish macd cross and looking to breach above the zero line.
vW's from 2346.1 to 2529.5 are triggered, along with some longer term ones in between.
Also possible bull flag to 3059.5 formed.



Bonds also same from last week, 
except 10 ma has retaken 50 ma.
From 5/27/21
Bonds hit vW 188'03. 10ma trying to retake the 50ma
Has triggered short term vW's from 190 to 199.
Also has bullish macd cross and trying to get above zero line.



10 year yield has triggered vM's to 1.434 and 1.162
Also has bearish 10/50 ma construction and macd.
Shorter term vM to 1.363 has formed.



Gold has formed short term vM's to 1799.3 which is right at it's 50 ma.
Might be healthy if it test the 50 ma as vW's higher and the bull flag will remain intact.



Oil climbed above recent highs this week, nulling vM's from 59.84 to 50.68
I hit short term vW 69.49 so could see some resistance here, but vW's to 72.24 and 75.64 are triggered.



This months lumber contract rollover skewed all necklines and target prices so I deleted everything.
vM to 609.5 has formed, and currently fighting between 10 and 50 ma's
Still has bull flags to 2604 and 2957 if has bullish action and clears new highs.



The Dollar is fighting between short term patterns.
Currently lower is winning with vM's from 89.46 to 86.245 getting triggered.
MACD trying to bullish crossover.



Bitcoin still trading sideways. 
Has come close to vM 29721.88 a couple times,
making it less likely to bounce if goes there.
If that doesn't hold, next target price is 16021.58. 
If that doesn't hold, next target is 3544.92.
vM's from 29721 to negative 1151.55 are triggered.