Sunday, May 17, 2020

Week Ending 5/15/20 - Banks - WFC

The stock indices have had pretty big moves, but have ended up mostly trading sideways the last couple weeks.  Banks however look particularly weak.  The week prior Wells Fargo got near the Corona virus lows, and traded lower this week.  The XLF and other banks are forming and triggering vM's lower as well.  Gold looks like it could break out and the Dollar has been sideways. 



The S&P has traded sideways the last couple weeks, 
although they were fairly big moves.
If doesn't hold Fridays lows,
expecting further selling towards 2700 and 2572.75



The Russell is similar to the S&P.  
Needs to hold this weeks lows 
to avoid further selling towards 1160 and 1048.1



The Nasdaq looks strong and has a vW to 10995.5






Gold looks like it could break out from here,
which would null vM's formed this year.



The Dollar has been trading sideways



Oil is back near $30.  Has a vM at 30.43.
See if can push through there or if it acts as resistance.
Also technically has a vW to 80.82 that is triggered 
when taking into account the negative price action.



Although I didn't do a market outlook for the previous week, 
I did notice banks looked weak, in particular WFC,
which has fallen below Corona virus levels.

If XLF falls below Thursdays low, expecting 16.06, which is about 20% lower.



Wells Fargo is below Corona virus lows.
VM to 18.85 is triggered.



BAC has vM's to 15.94 and 13.53



C has vM's to 34.23 and 25.47



Deutche Bank has a vM to 4.46, which is 30% lower, 
and is already lower than the 6.50-7.00 area 
that caused a stir in the markets last year.


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