Monday, August 31, 2020

Week Ending 8-29-20: Expecting a pullback soon

S&P and Nasdaq made new all time highs.  Several upper target prices have been hit so expecting a pullback soon.  Nasdaq and Russell still have some shorter term vW's to about 7-10% higher.


The S&P has hit vW's and made new all time highs.  
It has some short term patterns both ways, 
but has a long way to go to the next long term vW price target 3858.50
Expecting a decent pullback soon.



The Russell hasn't made ATH yet 
and still has longer term vW patterns in range.



The Nasdaq still has a vW triggered to 12734.25,
which is about 7% higher from here.



Dow still has vW to 30105 triggered.



Bonds still have large patterns both ways,
but recently have untriggered the vW's while triggering the vM's



Gold has hit some upper target prices,
But still has some huge ones to the upside.
Has formed a shorter term vM to 1711.1



Silver forming good size patterns both ways



Copper forming sizable patterns in both directions.



Oil has been trading sideways to slightly higher.
vW's to 46.27 and 43.84 are triggered.



Dollar looks like it wants 91.305



Lumber jumped above its last "short-term" pattern
in this enormous run.  
Only pattern left with price data from 1972, 
is an ugly vW to 940.5
"Expecting" it to hit 940.5 for some resistance there, but who knows.  
Also, if doesnt pull back much, it could set up a bullflag to the $1400-$1500 area.



XLF looks decent with some shorter term vW's triggered.




Sunday, August 16, 2020

Week Ending 8/14/20 - Lumber skyrocketing, Wells Fargo looking weak.

The indices got off to a rough start but closed the week up or flat.  
Gold and bonds were down as the Dollar continued to move sideways.
Wells Fargo is looking weak compared to the XLF so watch those.



The S&P has formed short term vW to 3437.25
and longer term to new highs 4340.25 and 3450.5.
All time highs are 3397.5



The Russell has a short term vM to 1533.2
inside larger vW's to 1609.6, 1629, and 1679



The Nasdaq has shorter term vW's to 1147 to 11739 areas,
Inside larger vw's to 1187.75 and 12732.25




Bonds fell for the week triggering vM's to 215'29 and 211'08
Still has larger, longer term, patterns in both directions.



Gold has formed vM's to 1854.2 and 1711.1
however vW's to 2127.5 and 2416.1 are still triggered,
and will remain so unless gold goes below 1711.1



Copper forming sizable patterns in both directions.



Oil has been trading sideways to slightly higher.
vW's to 46.27 and 43.84 are triggered.



The Dollar hit vM 92.835 and has found a bit of support.
If falls below that, expecting the bear flag at 91.305 
and if that doesn't hold, expect vM to 87.125 which will null vW's higher.



Lumber is up more than 185% off its April lows, 
nulling vM's lower and triggering vW to 878.3



Wells Fargo has a vW to 19.72 triggered, 
and is close to triggering vM to 12.59
It is also close to nulling vW's higher.
It caused weakness in XLF last time so watch it v.s. XLF



XLF is forming vW's that will null shorter term vM's lower.

Sunday, August 9, 2020

Week Ending 8/7/20

Stock Indices rose for the week hitting vW target prices.  Volatility wouldn't surprise me here, but we could also butter through to new highs.  Gold has been in an uptrend and the Dollar has been under pressure.



The S&P has a short term vW to 3366.75 
and longer term to new highs 4340.25 and 3450.5.
Might see some volatility here, but wouldn't surprise 
me if we buttered through to new highs either.



The Russell has hit a longer term vW, nulling vMs lower.
As with the S&P we could see volatility here, 
but ultimately expecting higher.  



The Nasdaq hit a longer term vW as well.
It has formed a small vM to 10820.25



Bonds have been strong lately.
Another decent rally and they will null large vM's lower.
Small vM to 222'29 has formed.




Gold is up over 15% the past few weeks,
triggering vW's to 2127.5 and 2416.1



Oil has been trading sideways to slightly higher.
vW's to 46.27 and 43.84 are triggered.



The Dollar hit vM 92.835 and has found a bit of support.
If falls below that, expecting the bear flag at 91.305 
and if that doesn't hold, expect vM to 87.125 which will null vW's higher.



Copper forming sizable patterns in both directions.



XLF is forming vW's that will null shorter term vM's lower.


Sunday, July 26, 2020

Week Ending 7/24/20 - Dollar/Gold/Bitcoin

Stock indices pretty much closed sideways for the week.  Gold and the dollar had big moves and Bitcoin is about to trigger vW's much higher.



The S&P has formed vM to 3123.25.
Several short and longer time frame vW's to new highs are still triggered.



Russell has formed a vM to 1427.5
Several vW's to new highs are triggered.



Bonds have formed sizable patterns in both directions.



Gold ripped higher pushing thru vW target prices 1881 and 1857 
and is now just under vW target price at 1937.6



Oil has been trading sideways to slightly higher.
vW's to 46.27 and 43.84 are triggered.



The dollar broke lower this week and has triggered vM's substantially lower to 91.305 and 87.125



Considering action in the dollar and gold this week, 
I'm including Bitcoins chart.  
It's about to trigger a vW to 26556 



Sunday, July 12, 2020

Week ending 7-10-20 - Nasdaq ATH's - Copper looking good, lumber up 20%

Indices traded sideways, but closed up for the week with the exception of the Russell.  The Nasdaq however closed at new ATH's on Friday.  Copper and Lumber looking good with lumber up almost 20% for the week.  the Dollar still looks like it could break lower.



The S&P has vW's to new highs that are triggered, 
and any higher from here will trigger vW to 4394.75 
that began forming in February due to Corona.



Russell has vW's to new highs triggered.



Bonds have formed sizable patterns in both directions.



Gold has continued its move up.
vW's to 1857 and 1937.6 are triggered.
Small vM to 1785.9 is triggered.



Oil Broke above $40 before pulling back with the market.
vW's to 43.84 and 46.27 have formed, as well as a vM to 33.34.



Dollar still looks like it could break lower.
Needs to hold 95.705



XLF is flirting with vM necklines lower.  Needs to get above $27



Copper has been looking strong.  
several vW's higher triggered.



Lumber jumped almost 20% and was almost as high as 25%.
vW to 643.5 which is just under new highs is triggered.




Sunday, July 5, 2020

Week Ending 7-2-20 : July 4th weekend. Riots and protests continue as Corona cases increase.

Stocks rose for the week on better than expected jobs numbers amidst rising corona virus cases.  Indices have patterns to new highs if they don't sell off due to a "second wave".



The S&P has triggered vW's to new highs.



Russell has vW's to new highs triggered as well



Bonds have formed sizable patterns in both directions.



Gold hit vW at 1777.7 and nulled vM's lower.
vW's to 1857 and 1937.6 are triggered.



vW's to 43.84 and 46.27 are triggered.



The Dollar has formed patterns, some of which are triggered, significantly lower.
Also if breaks lows around 95.70 soon, it could be a possible bear flag to 91.305



XLF has vM's to 20.90 and 19.47 that are triggered.  
Really needs to hold 17.49, otherwise I think stocks are in trouble.